| Will the next Islamic terror attack push France to the brink of civil war? By Colonel R Hariharan
| Friday, July 15, 2016
|"I am convinced that they
[Islamic State-backed terrorists] will evolve to the stage of car bombs
and explosive devices, that through this they will ramp up their
capabilities.” – Patrick Calvar, head of DGSI, France’s domestic
security agency, on May 24, 2016.
The forecast of the security chief with more than two
decades of experience, shared at a closed-door hearing of the French
parliament has come true two months later, with deadly results on July
14, 2016.A truck loaded with weapons and explosives ploughed through crowds celebrating Bastille Day at the beautiful Promenade de Anglais in the coastal holiday town of Nice, killing at least 84 people including many children and injuring 100 others, 18 of whom are in a critical condition.
The 19-tonne truck travelled two kilometers before a terrorist got off and began shooting; he kept at it till he was shot dead.
Papers recovered from the vehicle identified the attacker as a 31-year old Tunisian.
The French media that carried Calvar’s grim warnings on the future of the Islamic terror threat, quoted him as saying:
“We are in the brink of a civil war.
“This confrontation, I think it’s going to happen,” he said.
“One or two more terrorist attacks and it will start. It is therefore our duty to anticipate and block any group that aims to set off fighting between communities,” the DGSI chief added.
Can France, or for that matter, any other democratic country, succeed in preventing such confrontation?
Already, anti-Muslim right wing groups are increasing their political clout with rising public support after every jihadi attack.
The far right Front National (FN) party in France, led by Marine LePen, has made spectacular gains in popularity since 2011.
The FN’s credo includes economic protectionism, zero tolerance to law and order issues and opposition to immigration. And Jihadi terrorism will now find a place in its agenda.
In the 2014 European elections, Le Pen garnered 25 per cent of the votes and won several municipalities at the local elections. In the regional elections, FN came first, securing 28 per cent of the votes. Pollsters expect Le Pen to win the presidential elections in 2017.
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|posted by Major D Swami (Retired) @ 9:00 PM