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7th Rangers: Zahid's GE15 gambit risks backfiring as Harapan, PN carve up peninsula By Malaysiakini Team

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" ā€œWhen you're left wounded on
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the women come out to cut up what remains,
Just roll to your rifle

and blow out your brains,
And go to your God like a soldierā€
General Douglas MacArthur

" ā€œWe are not retreating. We are advancing in another direction.ā€

ā€œIt is fatal to enter any war without the will to win it.ā€
ā€œOld soldiers never die; they just fade away.
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for he must suffer and be the deepest wounds and scars of war.ā€
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Except to calm their fears.
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Lord, It needn't be so grand,
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But if you don't, I'll understand."
There was silence all around the throne
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Zahid's GE15 gambit risks backfiring as Harapan, PN carve up peninsula By Malaysiakini Team
Friday, November 18, 2022
Zahids gambit..... In his ambit..... For early ge15 to nail it.... Make for an early exit..... PN is trying to fix it... By forming muafakat intrepid.... And thence for agong to sign and permit... The gomen they form in debit - Loga


Malaysiakini : GE15 | From north to south in Peninsular Malaysia, things are not looking good for BN. While the ruling coalition is expected to make some gains in this 15th general election, compared to the 2018 polls, it may not be enough for it to form the government on its own.

This is because Pakatan Harapan and Perikatan Nasional are seen as set to carve up large swathes of the peninsula between them. Harapan appears set to retain its dominance in its strongholds in the Klang Valley and Penang - while maintaining the gains it made in Johor and Negeri Sembilan.

Expectations are also high for Harapan to win back Perak and a majority of this stateā€™s parliamentary seats. As for PN, the Bersatu and the PAS-led coalition are seen as being on track to conquer most of Kelantan and Terengganu.

Harapan and PN also appear poised to divide Kedah between them, while Perlis might see each coalition getting one parliamentary seat each. Even Pahang may see some BN seats flipped.

For PN, the combination of PAS and Bersatu will give the coalition an advantage in seats where PAS is the dominant opposition party while Bersatu chips away at BNā€™s Malay vote bank. The coalition is positioning itself as an alternative to BN for Malays who want a clean government and are unwilling to vote for Harapan because of DAP.

Perikatan Nasional chief Muhyiddin Yassin

PN has also engaged in rhetoric aimed at driving conservative voters away from Harapan, with the most recent being PN chief Muhyiddin Yassin accusing Harapan of being an agent of Jews and Christians who were out to colonise Malaysia.

However, if PN eats into BNā€™s votes, this could work to Harapanā€™s advantage in mixed and urban seats, as well as in seats where Malays make up less than 65 percent of the electorate - where split Malay votes will allow Harapan to win on the back of mostly non-Malay support.

Meanwhile, there appears to be a huge upsurge in motivation to vote in GE15 compared to the Johor state election in March, where many outstation voters did not return to cast their ballots. If this trend continues, it will likely be to Harapanā€™s advantage as most outstation voters live in urban areas where the coalition is influential.

Poor turnout in mixed and urban seats was a major factor in BNā€™s ability to win big in Johor as PN cannibalised opposition Malay support from 2018 while not enough non-Malays came out to vote in favour of Harapan. However, one factor that may throw predictions out of the window is the flood of new voters - both those aged 18 to 20, and those older who did not register in the past but are now in the electorate.

Determined Sarawakian : Never count the chickens before they're hatched. It's very, very deceptive. It's anybody guess. We need to be very sure about the turnout in the heartland.

Aisyalam : Because PH tenor was prematurely terminated by frogs and the backdoor government were not able to prove themselves and also not showing accountability like in the LCS scandal, the majority will vote PH to give them a chance to continue their term.

GreenGopher5691 : Bangkitkan melayu. Semua org bukan melayu mesti keluar mengundi tak kisah banjir atau hujan. Kita semua anak anak malaysia. Kita amat sayangi tanah air kita. Marilah kita berpadu sama sama untuk menbuktikan semua survey ni salah. PH mesti dapat lebih 112 kerusi esok.

Read it all here........

posted by Major D Swami (Retired) @ 7:37 PM  
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