| Why the Paris Massacre Will Have Limited Impact
| Sunday, November 15, 2015
|The murder of some 127 innocents in Paris by a jihadi gang on
Friday has again shocked the French and led to another round of
solidarity, soul searching, and anger.
In the end, however, Islamist
violence against Westerners boils down to two questions: How much will
this latest atrocity turn public opinion? And how much will it further
spur the Establishment to deny reality?
As these questions suggest, the people and the professionals are
moving in opposite directions, the former to the right, the latter to
the left. In the end, this clash much reduces the impact of such events
Public opinion moves against Islamists specifically and Islam more
generally when the number of deaths are large enough. America’s 3,000
dead on 9/11 stands out as by far the largest body count, but many other
countries have had their equivalent attack — the Bali bombings for
Australia, the railroad bombing for Spain, the Beslan school massacre
for Russia, the transportation bombings for Britain.
Sheer numbers are not the only consideration. Other factors can multiply
the impact of an assault, making it almost the political equivalent of
mass carnage: (1) the renown of those attacked, such as Theo van Gogh in
the Netherlands and the Charlie Hebdo office in France; (2) the
professional status of the victim, such as soldiers or police; (3)
high-profile circumstances, such as the Boston Marathon bombing.
But when it comes to the Establishment — politicians, the police, the press, and the professors — the unrelenting violence has a contrary effect. Those charged with interpreting the attacks live in a bubble of public denial (what they say privately is another matter) in which they feel compelled to pretend that Islam has no role in the violence, out of concern that to recognize it would cause even more problems.
This defiance of common sense has survived each atrocity, and I predict that it will also outlast the Paris massacre. Only a truly massive loss of life, perhaps in the hundreds of thousands, would force the professionals to back off their deeply ingrained pattern of denying an Islamic component in the spate of attacks. That pattern has the very consequential effect of shutting out the fears of ordinary voters, whose views thereby have negligible impact on policy.
Worries about sharia, rape gangs, exotic diseases, and bloodbaths are dismissed with charges of “racism” and “Islamophobia,” as though name-calling addresses these real issues.
Read it all here........
|posted by D.Swami Gwekanandam @ 8:47 AM